Friday, November 30, 2007

Rotational Structure

All bear markets can vary in terms of structure

This bear appears to be rotational in nature

Note the price peak in the leading Financials in May 2007 - and the subsequent A-B-C type correction

Plan now for the same A-B-C correction in the lagging commodity sensitive sectors.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Tech stocks vs Gold stocks

Technology stocks on a relative basis under-performed gold stocks through 2005 - 2006

In late 2006 our Relative Averages (RA) began to display a shift away from gold stocks to technology stocks

Any new 52-week high in the XIT would confirm our studies


Monday, November 26, 2007

Bollinger Bands vs True Range

I tried Bollinger Bands and found they generate too many "False" signals

True Range bands solve this problem

Bill Carrigan