I
have devoted several posts to detail the importance of using the new 52-week
high / low list as a strategy to screen stocks for buy or sell candidates. The
new 52-week high / low list can also be used to measure the strength of the
prevailing trend.
For
example in the NYSE at the close Friday November 15 we had 380 new 52-week
highs and only 30 new 52-week lows. During a bear trend the new 52-week high /
low list would be reversed new 52-week lows outnumbering the new 52-week highs.
When
used as a breadth study we need more than one good day but rather a long series
of stocks making new highs. The best approach is to study the cumulative total
of new highs less the new lows. This is not the same study of the popular AD
line that tracks the net difference between the DAILY advancing and declining
issues.
The
chart is a weekly of the S&P500 plotted above the weekly cumulative 52-week
hi/lo line which smoothed by a 20 period simple moving average. I have marked
the two sell and two buy signals issued over the past seven years. When I get a
sell signal – you will be the first to know.
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