During
the great 2007-2008 financial crisis the shares of asset manager / investment
dealer Canaccord Genuity Group Inc (CF) peaked
at $27.50 in mid 2006 and bottomed at $2.87 in mid 2008. During the same crisis
the shares of asset manager / investment dealer GMP Capital Inc. (GMP) peaked
at $28.75 in mid 2006 and bottomed at $3.03 in mid 2008. In both examples these
were stunning losses - in the order of 90%
The
experienced technical analyst (the older guys) will track the asset managers or
financial related issuers because they tend the broader equity markets. Also in
Canada
we had the August 2007 failure of Coventree Inc. and the Dundee Bank ABCP 2007
panic. In the U.S. we had
the March 2007 collapse of New Century Financial Corporation, an obscure real
estate investment trust that originated mortgage loans in the United States
through its operating subsidiaries. In a publication dated February 13, 2007, cycle expert
Ian Notley predicted "Mortgage Lenders / Financials: Cyclic tops and bears
are originating."
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