Price
momentum indicators are usually based on a rate-of-change such as a 10-month of
10-week point or percent change - we can also use departure analysis which is
the study of the relationship of two or more moving averages. On of the best
studies on departure analysis is the RBC Trend & Cycle 5/15/3 histogram. It
is a 5-week (or month) less a 15-week (or month) difference smoothed by 3-weeks
(or 3-months). Some popular Indicators that are not momentum studies would be one
simple moving average (trend following) and OBV which tracks buying or selling
pressure (or money flow).
The
table below is my 10-component Global Basket sorted by a one-month change in
monthly price momentum – in this example the February MOM vs. the January MOM
numbers. The top positive change in price momentum is the Greenhaven Commodity
(GCC) which went from a negative January # to a less negative February #. The
bottom ranked negative MOM change was the iShares EWJ which went fro a positive
January # to a less positive February #. Note the TREND comments and the
STRATEGY comments on each of the 10-sectors and note there are only two
advancing MOM sectors – not a bullish picture. This table along with the
Canadian and US tables are the published in the Getting Technical market letter
and are the intellectual property of Information © 2006 – 2014 Getting
Technical Info Services All Rights Reserved
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