I
focus on the Dow Consumer (sorry Industrial) average because unlike the “hot”
1980’s the Dow Industrials should have a name change – to the Dow Consumer
Average – because unlike the 1980’s when there were 18 industrial components –
now there are only 6 industrial components. The number of consumer related
components has jumped from 6 in 1982 to 12 in 2014 – add-on the current
financial (4) and health care (4) and you have an over-priced basket of consumer
weighted interest sensitive stocks.
Pile
on the growing number of high profile names printing a swing failure which is alarming
– some examples AMZN, GOOG, DDD, GM, NFLX, PCLN, TSLA, YHOO and V plus several other
Dow components all suggesting a pending correction in the broader US stock
indices. A swing failure occurs when – following an uptrend the stock or index
corrects and the subsequent advance fails to exceed the prior price peak. The
chart displays the Goldman (GS) and Nike (NKE) swing failures – two of many.
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